The Ignorant Investor

Ignorance Can't Stand in the Way of My Opinion

Tuesday, October 04, 2005

 

Certainty vs. Uncertainty

Is it better to be certain that you're right and end up being wrong than to be unsure that you've got the right answer and find out later that you were right all along? I don't know. I thought I did a while back, but now I'm not so sure even though I feel like I should take a firmer stance on the issue.

Is the economy heading for a recession or will it continue to chug along?

Will the insurgency die down in Iraq, or are the generals lying to us?

Could we get along without Texas? Maybe give it back to the Mexicans to rid ourselves of a state that seems built around cronyism and political tricks?

Of these three questions, I'm only certain about one of them. The other two, I'm still up in the air.

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